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assumed that the procurement of supplies for a coming mobilization
year must be met as from today.
This mobilization requirement is
covered by domestic production and by the supplies already on hand. The
deficit, after deduction of production and stocks on hand ("mobilization gap"),
represents the additional stockpiling necessary to cover the first
mobilization year.
Since in the individual sectors the stocks already
on hand vary greatly in quantity — in some instances sizeable supplies are
on hand, in others practically no supplies are on hand in very important fields
— in order to make the position more clear, the investigation was extended
also to the second mobilization year, in which the supplies on hand are already
used up. In the second mobilization year the shortages will be greater unless
the growing increase of domestic production in the respective field in each
particular case makes itself felt to a corresponding degree (for instance,
rubber).
In the following outline two points were simultaneously taken
up in each case:
A. additional stockpiling to take care of the first
mobilization year, taking into account the stocks already on hand;
B. additional stockpiling to take care of the second
mobilization year (supplies on hand have already been used up in the first
mobilization year; a possible increase of domestic production has been taken
into account).
The outline also shows the funds necessary in both cases
for obtaining the additional supplies of the raw materials in question.
A decrease in production, which threatens particularly the mining
industry because of difficulties arising in the matter of skilled workers in
case of mobilization, has not been taken into consideration. In general, it is
assumed that domestic production will be carried out in accordance with the
existing plan of development and that in case of mobilization it will be put
into operation according to plan.
The amounts on hand in the foundries,
which must necessarily be considered as plant reserves, are not listed as
actually available supplies.
In general, care must be taken, in
connection with the procurement of additional raw materials, that no
disturbance of the market occurs as a result of the purchases, which might
lead to price increases. The materials must therefore be obtained with greatest
caution, and it is to be recommended that such agencies be used which generally
make purchases and have at their disposal the best connections and knowledge of
markets. It will, therefore, be advisable to work through well-known companies
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